如何预测美国大选的结果

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=[Eddo Republic]= 我爱吃米，我是爱米客（imick）。 <<<Eboy解构（第2篇） | 首页 | 万圣节齐来扮野>>> 如何预测美国大选的结果明天就是大选的日子了，我做为研究学者（好像是吧，嘿嘿），当然想预测这次大选的结果，那么一起来做一次研究吧！哈哈，前面这些都是在胡说，只是因为今天听到教授讲了一个运动和总统大选的巧合而已，上网搜了一下资料，还真是邪门啊！这个coincident是这样的：从1936年开始，美式足球队伍Washington Redskins（看名字就知道是美国首都的队伍）在每次大选前的最后一场主场比赛胜利与否会跟谁（准确的说是哪个党的人）会当选直接联系在一起。如果Redskins赢了，执政党将会在大选中赢出，继续当政，如果Redskins输了，执政党就会输掉而下台。那么让我们来预测一下吧，Redskins最近的一场主场14：28输给了Green Bay Packers，那么就是说Kerry会赢啦，哈哈，美国人其实挺迷信的。但等等，今年美国体育界充满异数，Red Sox可以打破86年的spell，难免这个巧合也会被打破，所以结果还是难说，我们的研究白做了，嘿嘿，^o^ 说回我们的大选与足球的巧合，为什么从1936年开始算起呢？又不是只有1936年以后才有总统大选，那时因为在1932年Washington Redskins即不叫Redskins，也不是Washington的队伍，而是叫Boston Braves，所以不算数，在那之后的预测倒是完完全全正确，让我们看看记录： On 30 October 2000 the Washington Redskins lost a Monday night game at home to the Tennessee Titans, 27-21 , presaging a loss for the incumbent Democratic party. Since President Bill Clinton had already been elected to the constitutionally-mandated maximum of two terms in office, the 7 November 2000 presidential election pitted Democratic Vice-President Al Gore against Republican Governor George W. Bush of Texas. In the closest (and most controversial) presidential election since 1876, Governor Bush gained the White House by the slim margin of five electoral votes, thereby fulfilling the Redskin prophecy. On 27 October 1996 the Washington Redskins defeated the Indianapolis Colts at home, 31-16, predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. Sure enough, in the 5 November 1996 general election, Democratic President Bill Clinton won re-election over his Republican challenger, Senator Bob Dole of Kansas. On 1 November 1992 the Washington Redskins lost to the New York Giants at home, 24-7, predicting a similar loss for the incumbent Republicans. As expected, in the 3 November 1992 , Republican President George H. W. Bush lost his re-election bid to Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas. On 6 November 1988 the Washington Redskins edged the New Orleans Saints at home, 27-24, predicting a win for the incumbent Republicans. As President Ronald Reagan had already been elected twice, the 8 November 1988 election once again matched a sitting Vice-President, Republican George H. W. Bush , against a challenger, Democratic Governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts. True to form, Vice-President Bush emerged victorious. On 5 November 1984 the Washington Redskins bested the Atlanta Falcons in a Monday night home game, 27-14, predicting a win for the incumbent Republicans. The next day, President Ronald Reagan handily defeated his Democratic challenger, former Vice-President and Senator Walter F. Mondale of Minnesota, winning re-election with an electoral vote landslide. On 2 November 1980 the Washington Redskins were trounced at home by the Minnesota Vikings, 39-14, predicting a loss for the incumbent Democrats. As expected, on 4 November 1980 President Jimmy Carter failed in his re-election bid, losing to his Republican opponent, former California governor Ronald Reagan. On 31 October 1976 the Washington Redskins were spooked by the Dallas Cowboys in a Halloween Day home game, losing 20-7 and predicting a loss for the incumbent Republicans. Two days later, on 2 November 1976, Democratic Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia unseated President Gerald Ford (who had been appointed Vice-President after the resignation of Spiro Agnew in 1973 and became chief executive in 1974 after President Richard Nixon also resigned). On 22 October 1972 the Washington Redskins edged the Dallas Cowboys, 24-20, predicting a win for the incumbent Republicans. The 7 November 1972 election resulted in the electoral vote landslide re-election of President Richard Nixon over the Democratic nominee, Senator George McGovern of South Dakota. On 27 October 1968 the Washington Redskins lost a close game to the New York Giants, 13-10, predicting a loss for the incumbent Democrats. Since President Lyndon B. Johnson had announced several months earlier that he would not seek another term as president, the 1968 election was a contest between sitting Vice-President Hubert Humphrey and a former Vice-President, Republican Richard Nixon. In a mirror of the Redskins game, the Democrats lost in a close contest (the two candidates were separated by a slim 0.6% margin in the popular vote). On 25 October 1964 the Washington Redskins beat the Chicago Bears, 27-20, predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. As predicted, on 3 November 1964 President Lyndon Johnson (who had ascended to the White House after the assassination of President Kennedy in 1963) won a landslide victory over Republican Senator Barry Goldwater of Arizona. On 30 October 1960 the Washington Redskins were pasted at home by the Cleveland Browns, 31-10, predicting a loss for the incumbent Republicans. President Dwight D. Eisenhower had already served two terms, so Vice-President Richard Nixon took up the Republican mantle against Senator John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts in the 8 November 1960 presidential election. Like the Redskins, the Republicans lost; unlike the Redskins, the Republicans made the contest a very close one. (Kennedy bested Nixon by a mere 0.2% margin in the popular vote.) On 21 October 1956 the Washington Redskins soundly defeated the Cleveland Browns at home, 20-9, predicting a win for the incumbent Republicans on 6 November 1956. And, for the second straight election, the Republicans and their standard-bearer, Dwight D. Eisenhower, prevailed over the Democratic nominee, Adlai Stevenson. On 2 November 1952 the Washington Redskins lost a squeaker to the Pittsburgh Steelers at home, 24-23, predicting a similar loss for the incumbent Democrats. President Harry S. Truman declined to run for re-election (he had already served eight years), leaving the field open for former Illinois governor Adlai Stevenson to stand against the Republican candidate, General Dwight D. Eisenhower. The Democrats' loss on 4 November 1952 was not nearly as close as the Redskins' had been. On 31 October 1948, the Washington Redskins walloped the Boston Yanks at home, 59-21 , predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. Two days later, In one of the most stunning political upsets in U.S. history , President Harry S. Truman (who had assumed office in 1945 when President Franklin D. Roosevelt died shortly after beginning his fourth term) defeated his Republican challenger, Governor Thomas E. Dewey of New York. On 5 November 1944, the Washington Redskins trimmed the Cleveland Rams at home, 14-10 , predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. And win the Democrats did, as President Franklin D. Roosevelt secured an unprecedented fourth term by defeating the Republican nominee, Thomas Dewey, on 7 November 1944. On 3 November 1940, the Washington Redskins thrashed the Pittsburgh Pirates (forebears of today's Steelers team) at home, 37-10 , predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. Likewise, Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt became the first (and only) three-term president as he thrashed Republican challenger Wendell Willkie of New York (a former Democrat who had never held high elected office) on 5 November 1940. Going back to 1936 puts us beyond the beginnings of the Washington Redskins, as that year the Redskins franchise was still playing in Boston. Nonetheless, their knack for foretelling the outcome of presidential elections was already in place. On 1 November 1936 the Boston Redskins downed the Chicago Cardinals at Fenway Park, 13-10 , predicting a win for the incumbent Democrats. Two days later, President Franklin D. Roosevelt won re-election over Republican Governor Alf Landon of Kansas. via snopes.com imick @ 2004-11-01 23:35 引用Trackback(0) | 编辑评论发表评论最后更新万圣节齐来扮野如何预测美国大选的结果 Eboy解构（第2篇）一些有用的教程棒球史上最大的show落幕 iPod Photo和iPod U2别注 Red Sox可望终结curse Robosapien 今年棒球场上最流行的颜色是红色红运当头的Red Sox